How Bayesian statistics reveal the hidden structure behind uncertainty — and why smoothing probability updates is key to real financial forecasting.
Niclas Hummel
Crypto, Forecasting, Cycles
Will Bitcoin’s Seasonality Go On Forever with the Halving Cycle?
How to use Bitcoin cycles, seasonality, and risk indicators to forecast 3–6 month moves.
Niclas Hummel
Macro Forecasting, Portfolio Strategy
Why Getting the Big Picture Right Matters in Trading
Macro forecasting is the foundation of consistent trading and investing. Here’s why multiple perspectives improve your edge — and how RiskAlpha can help.
Niclas Hummel
Product Launch
Launching RiskAlpha — From Excel Chaos to Clarity
The first milestone of RiskAlpha: turning a personal trading tool into a platform for clarity, simplicity, and data-driven market insights.
Niclas Hummel
Trading, Psychology, Clarity
Why Clarity Matters More Than Emotions in Trading
Trading psychology is the hidden driver of success. Here’s why clarity matters — and how RiskAlpha can give you the insights you need.
Niclas Hummel
TradingView, Data, Forecasting
From TradingView to RiskAlpha — Turning Charts into Clear Forecasts
How to export TradingView data and use it inside RiskAlpha to move beyond pure technical analysis.
