Blog

One Indicator Can Work — But Robust Models Win
Forecasting

One Indicator Can Work — But Robust Models Win

Why single-indicator trading is fragile, and how RiskAlpha strengthens decisions through multiple forecast types you can weigh, combine, and update.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Predicting the Close — End-of-Period Forecasts
Platform Update

Predicting the Close — End-of-Period Forecasts

Introducing end-of-period forecasting and OHLC detection in RiskAlpha — making time-based predictions more precise and real-world aligned.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

The Lag in Truth — Why Real-Time Forecasts Need Release Dates
Quant Insights

The Lag in Truth — Why Real-Time Forecasts Need Release Dates

Macroeconomic data like GDP comes with long publication delays. RiskAlpha models those release lags — making your forecasts as realistic as the world they measure.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Bayesian Clarity — Why Finance Needs Smoothed Probabilities
Quant Insights

Bayesian Clarity — Why Finance Needs Smoothed Probabilities

How Bayesian statistics reveal the hidden structure behind uncertainty — and why smoothing probability updates is key to real financial forecasting.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

From TradingView to RiskAlpha — Turning Charts into Clear Forecasts
TradingView, Data, Forecasting

From TradingView to RiskAlpha — Turning Charts into Clear Forecasts

How to export TradingView data and use it inside RiskAlpha to move beyond pure technical analysis.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Why Getting the Big Picture Right Matters in Trading
Macro Forecasting, Portfolio Strategy

Why Getting the Big Picture Right Matters in Trading

Macro forecasting is the foundation of consistent trading and investing. Here’s why multiple perspectives improve your edge — and how RiskAlpha can help.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Launching RiskAlpha — From Excel Chaos to Clarity
Product Launch

Launching RiskAlpha — From Excel Chaos to Clarity

The first milestone of RiskAlpha: turning a personal trading tool into a platform for clarity, simplicity, and data-driven market insights.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Why Clarity Matters More Than Emotions in Trading
Trading, Psychology, Clarity

Why Clarity Matters More Than Emotions in Trading

Trading psychology is the hidden driver of success. Here’s why clarity matters — and how RiskAlpha can give you the insights you need.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel

Will Bitcoin’s Seasonality Go On Forever with the Halving Cycle?
Crypto, Forecasting, Cycles

Will Bitcoin’s Seasonality Go On Forever with the Halving Cycle?

How to use Bitcoin cycles, seasonality, and risk indicators to forecast 3–6 month moves.
Niclas Hummel

Niclas Hummel